CMG vs CAVA: which stock is the better buy?
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. and CAVA Group, Inc., graded by the same fixed-weight model from live fundamentals — composite score, 12-month forecast, valuation, growth and margins, side by side. As of July 6, 2026.
On today’s numbers, CMG and CAVA grade nearly even. Tap either card for the full factor breakdown.
Metric by metric
| Metric | CMG | CAVA |
|---|---|---|
| TradersQuant Score | 59/100 ✓ | 59/100 |
| Price | $35.38 | $76.88 |
| 12-mo base forecast | $33.72 | $92.43 |
| Implied upside | -4.7% | +20.2% ✓ |
| Bull / bear range | $41.44 / $29.01 | $120.36 / $73.79 |
| P/E | 31.6 ✓ | 144.4 |
| Forward P/E | — | — |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | +5.4% | +22.4% ✓ |
| Gross margin | 36.1% ✓ | 18.6% |
| Market cap | $45.4B | $9.0B |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
✓ marks the stronger reading per metric (lower is better for P/E). Figures refresh continuously; research, not financial advice.
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CMG vs CAVA — FAQ (2026)
Is CMG or CAVA the better buy right now?
CMG and CAVA currently grade very close on the TradersQuant composite score. Open each stock's live page for the current numbers and full factor breakdown. Research, not financial advice.
Which has more 12-month upside, CMG or CAVA?
TradersQuant's 12-month base-case forecast currently implies -4.7% for CMG and +20.2% for CAVA. Both forecasts are three-scenario models (bull/base/bear) refreshed continuously and graded on our public track record.
How is this CMG vs CAVA comparison calculated?
Both stocks are scored by the same fixed-weight model — 20% valuation, 20% growth, 15% earnings quality, 15% momentum, 10% macro regime fit, 10% analyst sentiment, 10% balance-sheet risk — from live fundamentals and prices. No hand-picking: the same arithmetic runs on every stock we cover, and our systematic calls are graded in public against the S&P 500.