Tesla, Inc. operates globally, specializing in the creation, production, and distribution of electric vehicles, alongside comprehensive energy generation and storage solutions. Its market reach extends across the United States, China, and various other international regions. The company's operations are primarily divid…
An institutional-grade, numbers-driven thesis on TSLA — generated on demand from live fundamentals, scores and forecast.
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As of August 7, 2026, TradersQuant's model rates Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) 45/100 with a 12-month base-case forecast of $436.08 — +36.5% versus the current price of $319.53. Tesla, Inc. trades at $319.53 in the Consumer Cyclical sector, with a market capitalisation of $1.26T. The score blends valuation, growth, earnings quality and momentum into a single grade.
The 12-month analyst consensus price target for TSLA is $436.08, implying +36.5% versus the current price. The model's 12-month scenario range runs from $225.81 (bear) to $425.64 (bull), with a base case of $314.72.
On the fundamentals, Tesla shows a P/E of 270.8, trailing revenue of $94.83B, revenue growth of -2.9% YoY. This page also tracks TSLA's short interest, institutional (smart-money) positioning and the options market — the same cross-signal view institutions watch.
TSLA currently carries a TradersQuant composite score of 45/100, which we read as a cautious signal. The Wall-Street analyst consensus is "Buy". Our 12-month price target of $436.08 implies +36.5% from $319.53. This is research, not financial advice — always combine it with your own judgement.
The analyst consensus price target for TSLA is $436.08, about +36.5% versus the latest price of $319.53. Consensus is based on 81 analysts.
TradersQuant's 12-month model forecast for TSLA is a base case of $314.72, ranging from $225.81 (bear) to $425.64 (bull), an expected return of -1.5%. Forecasts are model estimates, not guarantees.
The TradersQuant price prediction for TSLA over the next 12 months is $314.72 in the base case (bear $225.81, bull $425.64), versus today's price of $319.53. Unlike black-box prediction sites, every TradersQuant call is logged at the price and date it was made and graded publicly against the S&P 500.
We deliberately don't publish 2030 price predictions for TSLA — no model can honestly forecast a single stock five-plus years out, and sites that do are guessing. TradersQuant focuses on a rigorous 12-month bull/base/bear range, refreshed continuously and graded on our public track record.
TradersQuant estimates TSLA's fair value at $436.08, implying +36.5% of expected upside versus the current price.
Tesla does not currently pay a dividend.
Data and model outputs are for research only and are not financial advice. Figures update continuously.
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has 1 TradersQuant call on the record, including a live Avoid from Jul 3, 2026. Every call is logged at the live price and marked to market against the S&P 500 — wins and misses shown in full.
| Call | Logged | Entry | Return | vs S&P | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avoid | Jul 3, 2026 | $393.45 | -18.8% | -22.0% | Live |
Calls graded on a 90-day forward window vs. the S&P 500. Research only — not financial advice.
