Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC), along with its affiliated entities, operates globally in the semiconductor industry, specializing in the manufacturing, packaging, meticulous testing, and worldwide distribution of integrated circuits and other crucial semiconductor components. Its expansive in…
An institutional-grade, numbers-driven thesis on TSM — generated on demand from live fundamentals, scores and forecast.
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As of August 8, 2026, TradersQuant's model rates Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) 71/100 with a 12-month base-case forecast of $596.00 — +41.9% versus the current price of $420.04. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited trades at $420.04 in the Technology sector, with a market capitalisation of $2.18T. The score blends valuation, growth, earnings quality and momentum into a single grade.
The 12-month analyst consensus price target for TSM is $596.00, implying +41.9% versus the current price. The model's 12-month scenario range runs from $579.76 (bear) to $789.93 (bull), with a base case of $652.66.
On the fundamentals, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited shows a P/E of 27.5, revenue growth of +33.0% YoY, a dividend yield of 0.93%. This page also tracks TSM's short interest, institutional (smart-money) positioning and the options market — the same cross-signal view institutions watch.
TSM currently carries a TradersQuant composite score of 71/100, which we read as a strong composite signal. The Wall-Street analyst consensus is "Buy". Our 12-month price target of $596.00 implies +41.9% from $420.04. This is research, not financial advice — always combine it with your own judgement.
The analyst consensus price target for TSM is $596.00, about +41.9% versus the latest price of $420.04. Consensus is based on 25 analysts.
TradersQuant's 12-month model forecast for TSM is a base case of $652.66, ranging from $579.76 (bear) to $789.93 (bull), an expected return of +55.4%. Forecasts are model estimates, not guarantees.
The TradersQuant price prediction for TSM over the next 12 months is $652.66 in the base case (bear $579.76, bull $789.93), versus today's price of $420.04. Unlike black-box prediction sites, every TradersQuant call is logged at the price and date it was made and graded publicly against the S&P 500.
We deliberately don't publish 2030 price predictions for TSM — no model can honestly forecast a single stock five-plus years out, and sites that do are guessing. TradersQuant focuses on a rigorous 12-month bull/base/bear range, refreshed continuously and graded on our public track record.
TradersQuant estimates TSM's fair value at $596.00, implying +41.9% of expected upside versus the current price.
Yes — Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited pays a dividend yielding 0.93% (about $3.90 per share annually).
Data and model outputs are for research only and are not financial advice. Figures update continuously.
