On the record
Every call we make,
marked to market.
Anyone can ask an AI for a hot take. We do something a chatbot never will: we publish every rating at a real price on a real date, then let the market grade it — against the S&P 500, with no edits and no do-overs.
33
Live calls on the record
being marked to market now
+2.3%
Avg live return
bullish calls, so far
90d
Grading horizon
every call, judged forward
Jun 30, 2026
On the record since
first call logged
Early record: calls are still inside their 90-day grading window. Full verdicts — hit rate and alpha — publish automatically as each call matures. No conclusions before the market has spoken.
How the record is kept honest
Logged at the moment of the call
Each rating is stamped with the live price and date it was made. It can never be edited or deleted after the fact.
Graded by the market, not by us
Bullish calls have to go up, bearish calls have to go down — beyond a ±3% dead-band so noise isn’t scored as skill.
Measured against the S&P 500
Every call is benchmarked to the index over the identical 90-day window. We publish alpha, not a raw number a rising tide inflates.
Losses shown next to wins
Wrong calls stay on the page with a ✗. A track record that only shows winners isn’t a track record — it’s marketing.
The grading rules, exactly
What counts as a call
Every rating the platform publishes — from an AI thesis or the systematic composite score — is logged the moment it’s made, with the stock’s live price and the S&P 500’s level on that date. Buy-type ratings are graded as bullish; Avoid, Sell and Short as bearish; Watch/Hold-type ratings as a range-bound (neutral) view.What counts as a win or a loss
A bullish call is right if the stock is up more than +3% after 90 days and wrong if it’s down more than −3%; anything between is scored flat, not a win. Bearish calls are the mirror image. A neutral call is right only if the stock stays within ±8%. The ±3% dead-band exists so market noise is never scored as skill — in either direction.Why 90 days
Long enough for a thesis to play out past the news cycle it was born in, short enough that the record accumulates verdicts quickly instead of hiding behind “wait five years.” Every call gets the same fixed window — no extending a losing call’s deadline.Benchmark and returns
Alpha is the call’s price return minus the S&P 500’s return over the identical window. Returns are split-adjusted — a 10-for-1 split is never graded as a 90% loss — and exclude dividends, which, if anything, understates the performance of bullish calls on dividend payers.The ledger
33 most recent calls| Stock | Call | Logged | Entry | Return | vs S&P | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVNA | Strong Buy | Aug 9 | $70.85 | +6.7% | +6.3% | Live · 83d |
| BBBY | Buy | Aug 4 | $5.32 | -18.2% | -20.7% | Live · 78d |
| AMZN | Buy | Aug 4 | $284.02 | -7.5% | -10.0% | Live · 78d |
| TXN | Buy | Aug 4 | $269.04 | +3.9% | +1.5% | Live · 78d |
| NVDA | Strong Buy | Jul 8 | $196.93 | +14.3% | +10.5% | Live · 51d |
| RIVN | Buy | Jul 8 | $16.49 | -6.9% | -10.7% | Live · 51d |
| SONM | Buy | Jul 5 | $3.75 | -7.1% | -11.3% | Live · 48d |
| MARA | Buy | Jul 3 | $12.40 | -25.8% | -30.0% | Live · 47d |
| MU | Buy | Jul 3 | $975.56 | -0.4% | -4.6% | Live · 46d |
| TXN | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $293.08 | -4.6% | -8.8% | Live · 46d |
| QCOM | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $176.25 | -5.9% | -10.2% | Live · 46d |
| INTC | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $120.35 | -14.8% | -19.1% | Live · 46d |
| AMD | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $517.82 | -0.7% | -4.9% | Live · 46d |
| ADBE | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $219.72 | +20.2% | +15.9% | Live · 46d |
| CRM | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $166.11 | +18.1% | +13.9% | Live · 46d |
| AVGO | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $360.45 | +9.0% | +4.8% | Live · 46d |
| TSLA | Avoid | Jul 3 | $393.45 | -13.0% | -17.2% | Live · 46d |
| COIN | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $165.48 | -10.3% | -14.5% | Live · 46d |
| DDOG | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $260.36 | -1.9% | -6.1% | Live · 46d |
| DIS | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $99.46 | +7.4% | +3.2% | Live · 46d |
| NFLX | Buy | Jul 3 | $77.65 | +0.7% | -3.6% | Live · 46d |
| SOFI | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $18.24 | +0.3% | -4.0% | Live · 46d |
| HOOD | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $112.73 | -15.2% | -19.5% | Live · 46d |
| MSTR | Avoid | Jul 3 | $100.77 | -7.7% | -11.9% | Live · 46d |
| MDB | Buy | Jul 3 | $354.88 | +29.7% | +25.5% | Live · 46d |
| CRWD | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $193.98 | +11.8% | +7.6% | Live · 46d |
| NET | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $242.14 | +30.4% | +26.1% | Live · 46d |
| ORCL | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $140.27 | +7.2% | +2.9% | Live · 46d |
| SHOP | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $119.46 | +29.2% | +24.9% | Live · 46d |
| ABNB | Watchlist | Jul 3 | $148.93 | +23.6% | +19.4% | Live · 46d |
| UBER | Buy | Jul 3 | $74.43 | +2.0% | -2.2% | Live · 46d |
| AAPL | Buy | Jun 30 | $287.66 | +6.4% | +2.5% | Live · 44d |
| MSFT | Strong Buy | Jun 30 | $368.57 | +34.4% | +29.6% | Live · 43d |
Returns are price-only and measured from the call date. Calls are graded on a 90-day forward window against the S&P 500 (SPY). Research and education only — not financial advice.
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