SMH vs SOXX: which stock is the better buy?
VanEck Semiconductor ETF and iShares Semiconductor ETF, graded by the same fixed-weight model from live fundamentals — composite score, 12-month forecast, valuation, growth and margins, side by side. As of July 6, 2026.
On today’s numbers, SMH and SOXX grade nearly even. Tap either card for the full factor breakdown.
Metric by metric
| Metric | SMH | SOXX |
|---|---|---|
| TradersQuant Score | 54/100 | 54/100 |
| Price | $592.29 | $566.32 |
| 12-mo base forecast | $836.07 | $833.85 |
| Implied upside | +41.2% | +47.2% ✓ |
| Bull / bear range | $1,075.95 / $664.96 | $1,096.06 / $645.60 |
| P/E | — | — |
| Forward P/E | — | — |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | — | — |
| Gross margin | — | — |
| Market cap | $68.8B | $40.9B |
| Sector | Financial Services | Financial Services |
✓ marks the stronger reading per metric (lower is better for P/E). Figures refresh continuously; research, not financial advice.
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SMH vs SOXX — FAQ (2026)
Is SMH or SOXX the better buy right now?
SMH and SOXX currently grade very close on the TradersQuant composite score. Open each stock's live page for the current numbers and full factor breakdown. Research, not financial advice.
Which has more 12-month upside, SMH or SOXX?
TradersQuant's 12-month base-case forecast currently implies +41.2% for SMH and +47.2% for SOXX. Both forecasts are three-scenario models (bull/base/bear) refreshed continuously and graded on our public track record.
How is this SMH vs SOXX comparison calculated?
Both stocks are scored by the same fixed-weight model — 20% valuation, 20% growth, 15% earnings quality, 15% momentum, 10% macro regime fit, 10% analyst sentiment, 10% balance-sheet risk — from live fundamentals and prices. No hand-picking: the same arithmetic runs on every stock we cover, and our systematic calls are graded in public against the S&P 500.