VGT vs XLK: which stock is the better buy?
Vanguard Information Technology ETF and State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF, graded by the same fixed-weight model from live fundamentals — composite score, 12-month forecast, valuation, growth and margins, side by side. As of July 6, 2026.
On today’s numbers, State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF grades higher — 57/100 vs 54/100. Tap either card for the full factor breakdown.
Metric by metric
| Metric | VGT | XLK |
|---|---|---|
| TradersQuant Score | 54/100 | 57/100 ✓ |
| Price | $114.64 | $180.59 |
| 12-mo base forecast | $136.98 | $221.70 |
| Implied upside | +19.5% | +22.8% ✓ |
| Bull / bear range | $170.71 / $113.27 | $276.29 / $185.21 |
| P/E | — | — |
| Forward P/E | — | — |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | — | — |
| Gross margin | — | — |
| Market cap | $133.6B | $98.3B |
| Sector | Financial Services | Financial Services |
✓ marks the stronger reading per metric (lower is better for P/E). Figures refresh continuously; research, not financial advice.
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VGT vs XLK — FAQ (2026)
Is VGT or XLK the better buy right now?
On the live TradersQuant composite score, State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) currently grades higher at 57/100 versus 54/100 for VGT. The score weighs valuation, growth, earnings quality, momentum, the macro regime, sentiment and balance-sheet risk — open each stock's page for the full breakdown. Research, not financial advice.
Which has more 12-month upside, VGT or XLK?
TradersQuant's 12-month base-case forecast currently implies +19.5% for VGT and +22.8% for XLK. Both forecasts are three-scenario models (bull/base/bear) refreshed continuously and graded on our public track record.
How is this VGT vs XLK comparison calculated?
Both stocks are scored by the same fixed-weight model — 20% valuation, 20% growth, 15% earnings quality, 15% momentum, 10% macro regime fit, 10% analyst sentiment, 10% balance-sheet risk — from live fundamentals and prices. No hand-picking: the same arithmetic runs on every stock we cover, and our systematic calls are graded in public against the S&P 500.