TradersQuant — Market Intelligence

VST vs NRG: which stock is the better buy?

Vistra Corp. and NRG Energy, Inc., graded by the same fixed-weight model from live fundamentals — composite score, 12-month forecast, valuation, growth and margins, side by side. As of July 6, 2026.

On today’s numbers, NRG Energy, Inc. grades higher — 49/100 vs 46/100. Tap either card for the full factor breakdown.

Metric by metric

MetricVSTNRG
TradersQuant Score46/10049/100
Price$151.05$136.70
12-mo base forecast$123.44$134.04
Implied upside-18.3%-1.9%
Bull / bear range$164.35 / $90.52$166.36 / $109.11
P/E24.9159.0
Forward P/E
Revenue growth (YoY)-12.4%+9.2%
Gross margin12.7%17.1%
Market cap$50.9B$28.8B
SectorUtilitiesUtilities

✓ marks the stronger reading per metric (lower is better for P/E). Figures refresh continuously; research, not financial advice.

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VST vs NRG — FAQ (2026)

Is VST or NRG the better buy right now?

On the live TradersQuant composite score, NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) currently grades higher at 49/100 versus 46/100 for VST. The score weighs valuation, growth, earnings quality, momentum, the macro regime, sentiment and balance-sheet risk — open each stock's page for the full breakdown. Research, not financial advice.

Which has more 12-month upside, VST or NRG?

TradersQuant's 12-month base-case forecast currently implies -18.3% for VST and -1.9% for NRG. Both forecasts are three-scenario models (bull/base/bear) refreshed continuously and graded on our public track record.

How is this VST vs NRG comparison calculated?

Both stocks are scored by the same fixed-weight model — 20% valuation, 20% growth, 15% earnings quality, 15% momentum, 10% macro regime fit, 10% analyst sentiment, 10% balance-sheet risk — from live fundamentals and prices. No hand-picking: the same arithmetic runs on every stock we cover, and our systematic calls are graded in public against the S&P 500.