Alibaba Group Holding Limited, branded as Alibaba (), is a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, Internet, and technology. Founded on 28 June 1999 in Hangzhou, Zhejiang, the company provides consumer-to-consumer (C2C), business-to-consumer (B2C), and business-to-business (B2B) sal…
An institutional-grade, numbers-driven thesis on BABA — generated on demand from live fundamentals, scores and forecast.
Member feature · 7-day free trial · no charge today · cancel anytime
As of August 8, 2026, TradersQuant's model rates Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) 56/100 with a 12-month base-case forecast of $109.09 — -15.0% versus the current price of $128.41. Alibaba Group Holding Ltd trades at $128.41 in the Retail sector, with a market capitalisation of $303.99B. The score blends valuation, growth, earnings quality and momentum into a single grade.
The 12-month TradersQuant model price target for BABA is $109.09, implying -15.0% versus the current price. The model's 12-month scenario range runs from $100.51 (bear) to $123.69 (bull), with a base case of $109.09.
On the fundamentals, Alibaba Group Holding shows a P/E of 19.4, trailing revenue of $148.40B, revenue growth of +2.7% YoY, a dividend yield of 0.81%. This page also tracks BABA's short interest, institutional (smart-money) positioning and the options market — the same cross-signal view institutions watch.
BABA currently carries a TradersQuant composite score of 56/100, which we read as a neutral-to-watch signal. The Wall-Street analyst consensus is "buy". Our 12-month price target of $109.09 implies -15.0% from $128.41. This is research, not financial advice — always combine it with your own judgement.
The TradersQuant 12-month model price target for BABA is $109.09, about -15.0% versus the latest price of $128.41. Consensus is based on 47 analysts.
TradersQuant's 12-month model forecast for BABA is a base case of $109.09, ranging from $100.51 (bear) to $123.69 (bull), an expected return of -15.0%. Forecasts are model estimates, not guarantees.
The TradersQuant price prediction for BABA over the next 12 months is $109.09 in the base case (bear $100.51, bull $123.69), versus today's price of $128.41. Unlike black-box prediction sites, every TradersQuant call is logged at the price and date it was made and graded publicly against the S&P 500.
We deliberately don't publish 2030 price predictions for BABA — no model can honestly forecast a single stock five-plus years out, and sites that do are guessing. TradersQuant focuses on a rigorous 12-month bull/base/bear range, refreshed continuously and graded on our public track record.
TradersQuant estimates BABA's fair value at $164.01, implying +27.7% of expected upside versus the current price.
Yes — Alibaba Group Holding pays a dividend yielding 0.81% (about $1.04 per share annually).
Data and model outputs are for research only and are not financial advice. Figures update continuously.
