Marathon Petroleum Corporation is an American petroleum refining, marketing, and transportation company headquartered in Findlay, Ohio. The company was a wholly owned subsidiary of Marathon Oil until a corporate spin-off in 2011. Marathon Petroleum traces its origin from a number of small oil companies in Ohio that ba…
An institutional-grade, numbers-driven thesis on MPC — generated on demand from live fundamentals, scores and forecast.
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As of August 8, 2026, TradersQuant's model rates Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) 73/100 with a 12-month base-case forecast of $505.65 — +69.6% versus the current price of $298.20. Marathon Petroleum Corp trades at $298.20 in the Energy sector, with a market capitalisation of $83.74B. The score blends valuation, growth, earnings quality and momentum into a single grade.
The 12-month TradersQuant model price target for MPC is $505.65, implying +69.6% versus the current price. The model's 12-month scenario range runs from $492.63 (bear) to $553.60 (bull), with a base case of $505.65.
On the fundamentals, Marathon Petroleum shows a P/E of 9.8, trailing revenue of $157.05B, revenue growth of +15.8% YoY, a dividend yield of 1.34%. This page also tracks MPC's short interest, institutional (smart-money) positioning and the options market — the same cross-signal view institutions watch.
MPC currently carries a TradersQuant composite score of 73/100, which we read as a strong composite signal. The Wall-Street analyst consensus is "buy". Our 12-month price target of $505.65 implies +69.6% from $298.20. This is research, not financial advice — always combine it with your own judgement.
The TradersQuant 12-month model price target for MPC is $505.65, about +69.6% versus the latest price of $298.20. Consensus is based on 25 analysts.
TradersQuant's 12-month model forecast for MPC is a base case of $505.65, ranging from $492.63 (bear) to $553.60 (bull), an expected return of +69.6%. Forecasts are model estimates, not guarantees.
The TradersQuant price prediction for MPC over the next 12 months is $505.65 in the base case (bear $492.63, bull $553.60), versus today's price of $298.20. Unlike black-box prediction sites, every TradersQuant call is logged at the price and date it was made and graded publicly against the S&P 500.
We deliberately don't publish 2030 price predictions for MPC — no model can honestly forecast a single stock five-plus years out, and sites that do are guessing. TradersQuant focuses on a rigorous 12-month bull/base/bear range, refreshed continuously and graded on our public track record.
TradersQuant estimates MPC's fair value at $406.74, implying +36.4% of expected upside versus the current price.
Yes — Marathon Petroleum pays a dividend yielding 1.34% (about $3.99 per share annually).
Data and model outputs are for research only and are not financial advice. Figures update continuously.
