Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) functions as a prominent integrated energy enterprise, primarily concentrating its downstream operations across the United States. Its business is bifurcated into two main divisions: Refining & Marketing, and Midstream. The Refining & Marketing segment is responsible for processing…
An institutional-grade, numbers-driven thesis on MPC — generated on demand from live fundamentals, scores and forecast.
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As of August 8, 2026, TradersQuant's model rates Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) 65/100 with a 12-month base-case forecast of $311.90 — +4.6% versus the current price of $298.20. Marathon Petroleum Corporation trades at $298.20 in the Energy sector, with a market capitalisation of $87.06B. The score blends valuation, growth, earnings quality and momentum into a single grade.
The 12-month analyst consensus price target for MPC is $311.90, implying +4.6% versus the current price. The model's 12-month scenario range runs from $358.57 (bear) to $417.35 (bull), with a base case of $375.08.
On the fundamentals, Marathon Petroleum shows a P/E of 10.3, trailing revenue of $132.70B, revenue growth of -4.4% YoY, a dividend yield of 1.31%. This page also tracks MPC's short interest, institutional (smart-money) positioning and the options market — the same cross-signal view institutions watch.
MPC currently carries a TradersQuant composite score of 65/100, which we read as a neutral-to-watch signal. The Wall-Street analyst consensus is "Buy". Our 12-month price target of $311.90 implies +4.6% from $298.20. This is research, not financial advice — always combine it with your own judgement.
The analyst consensus price target for MPC is $311.90, about +4.6% versus the latest price of $298.20. Consensus is based on 33 analysts.
TradersQuant's 12-month model forecast for MPC is a base case of $375.08, ranging from $358.57 (bear) to $417.35 (bull), an expected return of +25.8%. Forecasts are model estimates, not guarantees.
The TradersQuant price prediction for MPC over the next 12 months is $375.08 in the base case (bear $358.57, bull $417.35), versus today's price of $298.20. Unlike black-box prediction sites, every TradersQuant call is logged at the price and date it was made and graded publicly against the S&P 500.
We deliberately don't publish 2030 price predictions for MPC — no model can honestly forecast a single stock five-plus years out, and sites that do are guessing. TradersQuant focuses on a rigorous 12-month bull/base/bear range, refreshed continuously and graded on our public track record.
TradersQuant estimates MPC's fair value at $311.90, implying +4.6% of expected upside versus the current price.
Yes — Marathon Petroleum pays a dividend yielding 1.31% (about $3.91 per share annually).
Data and model outputs are for research only and are not financial advice. Figures update continuously.
