Rio Tinto Group is a British–Australian multinational mining company headquartered in London, England, and Melbourne, Australia. It was founded in 1873 when a group of British investors purchased a mine complex on the Río Tinto, in Huelva, Spain, from the Spanish government. It has grown through a long series of merger…
An institutional-grade, numbers-driven thesis on RIO — generated on demand from live fundamentals, scores and forecast.
Member feature · 7-day free trial · no charge today · cancel anytime
As of August 8, 2026, TradersQuant's model rates Rio Tinto PLC (RIO) 59/100 with a 12-month base-case forecast of $125.33 — +24.0% versus the current price of $101.10. Rio Tinto PLC trades at $101.10 in the Metals & Mining sector, with a market capitalisation of $127.83B. The score blends valuation, growth, earnings quality and momentum into a single grade.
The 12-month TradersQuant model price target for RIO is $125.33, implying +24.0% versus the current price. The model's 12-month scenario range runs from $108.34 (bear) to $151.84 (bull), with a base case of $125.33.
On the fundamentals, Rio Tinto shows a P/E of 17.2, trailing revenue of $57.23B, revenue growth of +7.4% YoY, a dividend yield of 4.64%. This page also tracks RIO's short interest, institutional (smart-money) positioning and the options market — the same cross-signal view institutions watch.
RIO currently carries a TradersQuant composite score of 59/100, which we read as a neutral-to-watch signal. The Wall-Street analyst consensus is "hold". Our 12-month price target of $125.33 implies +24.0% from $101.10. This is research, not financial advice — always combine it with your own judgement.
The TradersQuant 12-month model price target for RIO is $125.33, about +24.0% versus the latest price of $101.10. Consensus is based on 35 analysts.
TradersQuant's 12-month model forecast for RIO is a base case of $125.33, ranging from $108.34 (bear) to $151.84 (bull), an expected return of +24.0%. Forecasts are model estimates, not guarantees.
The TradersQuant price prediction for RIO over the next 12 months is $125.33 in the base case (bear $108.34, bull $151.84), versus today's price of $101.10. Unlike black-box prediction sites, every TradersQuant call is logged at the price and date it was made and graded publicly against the S&P 500.
We deliberately don't publish 2030 price predictions for RIO — no model can honestly forecast a single stock five-plus years out, and sites that do are guessing. TradersQuant focuses on a rigorous 12-month bull/base/bear range, refreshed continuously and graded on our public track record.
TradersQuant estimates RIO's fair value at $130.67, implying +29.3% of expected upside versus the current price.
Yes — Rio Tinto pays a dividend yielding 4.64% (about $4.69 per share annually).
Data and model outputs are for research only and are not financial advice. Figures update continuously.
