UMB Financial Corporation serves as the holding company for UMB Bank, delivering a comprehensive array of banking and financial solutions. Its Commercial Banking division provides businesses with essential services, including commercial loans, credit cards, and real estate financing. This segment also offers letters of…
An institutional-grade, numbers-driven thesis on UMBF — generated on demand from live fundamentals, scores and forecast.
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As of August 16, 2026, TradersQuant's model rates UMB Financial Corporation (UMBF) 71/100 with a 12-month base-case forecast of $166.75 — +9.7% versus the current price of $152.04. UMB Financial Corporation trades at $152.04 in the Financial Services sector, with a market capitalisation of $11.55B. The score blends valuation, growth, earnings quality and momentum into a single grade.
The 12-month analyst consensus price target for UMBF is $166.75, implying +9.7% versus the current price. The model's 12-month scenario range runs from $183.10 (bear) to $228.15 (bull), with a base case of $196.40.
On the fundamentals, UMB Financial shows a P/E of 12.6, trailing revenue of $4.44B, revenue growth of +68.5% YoY, a dividend yield of 1.11%. This page also tracks UMBF's short interest, institutional (smart-money) positioning and the options market — the same cross-signal view institutions watch.
UMBF currently carries a TradersQuant composite score of 71/100, which we read as a strong composite signal. The Wall-Street analyst consensus is "Buy". Our 12-month price target of $166.75 implies +9.7% from $152.04. This is research, not financial advice — always combine it with your own judgement.
The analyst consensus price target for UMBF is $166.75, about +9.7% versus the latest price of $152.04. Consensus is based on 18 analysts.
TradersQuant's 12-month model forecast for UMBF is a base case of $196.40, ranging from $183.10 (bear) to $228.15 (bull), an expected return of +29.2%. Forecasts are model estimates, not guarantees.
The TradersQuant price prediction for UMBF over the next 12 months is $196.40 in the base case (bear $183.10, bull $228.15), versus today's price of $152.04. Unlike black-box prediction sites, every TradersQuant call is logged at the price and date it was made and graded publicly against the S&P 500.
We deliberately don't publish 2030 price predictions for UMBF — no model can honestly forecast a single stock five-plus years out, and sites that do are guessing. TradersQuant focuses on a rigorous 12-month bull/base/bear range, refreshed continuously and graded on our public track record.
TradersQuant estimates UMBF's fair value at $166.75, implying +9.7% of expected upside versus the current price.
Yes — UMB Financial pays a dividend yielding 1.11% (about $1.69 per share annually).
Data and model outputs are for research only and are not financial advice. Figures update continuously.
