Sectors don’t move randomly — they rotate
Across every economic cycle, leadership rotates in a recognisable order: early-cycle rallies favour financials and consumer discretionary, mid-cycle rewards technology and industrials, late-cycle shifts to energy and materials, and downturns send money into utilities, staples and healthcare.
The Cycle Clock reads the macro data — rates, inflation, growth, credit — to place the market on that clock, then shows which sectors historically outperform from this position and whether current sector performance agrees. When the clock and the tape disagree, that tension itself is information.
Frequently asked questions
What is sector rotation?
Sector rotation is the tendency of market leadership to move through sectors in a repeatable order as the economic cycle progresses — for example, defensives like utilities and staples typically lead during contractions, while financials and discretionary lead early recoveries.
How do you determine the current phase?
The model combines rates, inflation trend, growth indicators and credit conditions into a regime estimate, and cross-checks it against realised sector performance. It is presented as a probabilistic read, not a certainty.
TradersQuant provides research and educational tools only — model outputs are estimates, not guarantees or personalised financial advice. Every systematic call we make is graded against the S&P 500 on our public track record.
