Advance Auto Parts, Inc. operates as a leading retailer and supplier of a comprehensive array of automotive replacement components, accessories, batteries, and essential maintenance supplies. Its extensive inventory caters to a wide spectrum of vehicles, including domestic and imported passenger cars, vans, sport utili…
An institutional-grade, numbers-driven thesis on AAP — generated on demand from live fundamentals, scores and forecast.
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As of August 16, 2026, TradersQuant's model rates Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) 53/100 with a 12-month base-case forecast of $61.10 — +8.0% versus the current price of $56.55. Advance Auto Parts, Inc. trades at $56.55 in the Consumer Cyclical sector, with a market capitalisation of $3.41B. The score blends valuation, growth, earnings quality and momentum into a single grade.
The 12-month analyst consensus price target for AAP is $61.10, implying +8.0% versus the current price. The model's 12-month scenario range runs from $60.30 (bear) to $81.54 (bull), with a base case of $69.07.
On the fundamentals, Advance Auto Parts shows a P/E of 77.1, trailing revenue of $8.60B, revenue growth of -5.4% YoY, a dividend yield of 1.77%. This page also tracks AAP's short interest, institutional (smart-money) positioning and the options market — the same cross-signal view institutions watch.
AAP currently carries a TradersQuant composite score of 53/100, which we read as a neutral-to-watch signal. The Wall-Street analyst consensus is "Hold". Our 12-month price target of $61.10 implies +8.0% from $56.55. This is research, not financial advice — always combine it with your own judgement.
The analyst consensus price target for AAP is $61.10, about +8.0% versus the latest price of $56.55. Consensus is based on 44 analysts.
TradersQuant's 12-month model forecast for AAP is a base case of $69.07, ranging from $60.30 (bear) to $81.54 (bull), an expected return of +22.1%. Forecasts are model estimates, not guarantees.
The TradersQuant price prediction for AAP over the next 12 months is $69.07 in the base case (bear $60.30, bull $81.54), versus today's price of $56.55. Unlike black-box prediction sites, every TradersQuant call is logged at the price and date it was made and graded publicly against the S&P 500.
We deliberately don't publish 2030 price predictions for AAP — no model can honestly forecast a single stock five-plus years out, and sites that do are guessing. TradersQuant focuses on a rigorous 12-month bull/base/bear range, refreshed continuously and graded on our public track record.
TradersQuant estimates AAP's fair value at $61.10, implying +8.0% of expected upside versus the current price.
Yes — Advance Auto Parts pays a dividend yielding 1.77% (about $1.00 per share annually).
Data and model outputs are for research only and are not financial advice. Figures update continuously.
