MFA Financial, Inc. operates as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) primarily focused on acquiring residential mortgage assets, employing a leveraged investment strategy. Its portfolio encompasses various types of mortgage-related instruments, including both agency and non-agency mortgage-backed securities, alongside…
An institutional-grade, numbers-driven thesis on MFAO — generated on demand from live fundamentals, scores and forecast.
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As of August 16, 2026, TradersQuant's model rates MFA Financial, Inc. 9.000% Senior Notes (MFAO) 62/100 with a 12-month base-case forecast of $36.32 — +44.2% versus the current price of $25.18. MFA Financial, Inc. 9.000% Senior Notes trades at $25.18 in the Real Estate sector, with a market capitalisation of $928.1M. The score blends valuation, growth, earnings quality and momentum into a single grade.
The 12-month TradersQuant model price target for MFAO is $36.32, implying +44.2% versus the current price. The model's 12-month scenario range runs from $34.87 (bear) to $39.57 (bull), with a base case of $36.32.
On the fundamentals, MFA Financial, Inc. 9.000% Senior Notes shows a P/E of 6.9, trailing revenue of $875.2M, revenue growth of +213.0% YoY, a dividend yield of 15.72%. This page also tracks MFAO's short interest, institutional (smart-money) positioning and the options market — the same cross-signal view institutions watch.
MFAO currently carries a TradersQuant composite score of 62/100, which we read as a neutral-to-watch signal. Our 12-month price target of $36.32 implies +44.2% from $25.18. This is research, not financial advice — always combine it with your own judgement.
The TradersQuant 12-month model price target for MFAO is $36.32, about +44.2% versus the latest price of $25.18.
TradersQuant's 12-month model forecast for MFAO is a base case of $36.32, ranging from $34.87 (bear) to $39.57 (bull), an expected return of +44.2%. Forecasts are model estimates, not guarantees.
The TradersQuant price prediction for MFAO over the next 12 months is $36.32 in the base case (bear $34.87, bull $39.57), versus today's price of $25.18. Unlike black-box prediction sites, every TradersQuant call is logged at the price and date it was made and graded publicly against the S&P 500.
We deliberately don't publish 2030 price predictions for MFAO — no model can honestly forecast a single stock five-plus years out, and sites that do are guessing. TradersQuant focuses on a rigorous 12-month bull/base/bear range, refreshed continuously and graded on our public track record.
TradersQuant estimates MFAO's fair value at $32.93, implying +30.8% of expected upside versus the current price.
Yes — MFA Financial, Inc. 9.000% Senior Notes pays a dividend yielding 15.72% (about $3.96 per share annually).
Data and model outputs are for research only and are not financial advice. Figures update continuously.
