TradersQuant — Market Intelligence

IBIT vs GBTC: which stock is the better buy?

iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF and Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF, graded by the same fixed-weight model from live fundamentals — composite score, 12-month forecast, valuation, growth and margins, side by side. As of July 6, 2026.

On today’s numbers, iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF grades higher — 51/100 vs 48/100. Tap either card for the full factor breakdown.

Metric by metric

MetricIBITGBTC
TradersQuant Score51/10048/100
Price$34.87$47.64
12-mo base forecast$27.42$33.38
Implied upside-21.4%-29.9%
Bull / bear range$42.53 / $16.17$54.04 / $17.50
P/E0.0
Forward P/E
Revenue growth (YoY)+0.0%
Gross margin0.0%
Market cap$58.1B$33.0B
SectorFinancial ServicesFinancial Services

✓ marks the stronger reading per metric (lower is better for P/E). Figures refresh continuously; research, not financial advice.

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IBIT vs GBTC — FAQ (2026)

Is IBIT or GBTC the better buy right now?

On the live TradersQuant composite score, iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) currently grades higher at 51/100 versus 48/100 for GBTC. The score weighs valuation, growth, earnings quality, momentum, the macro regime, sentiment and balance-sheet risk — open each stock's page for the full breakdown. Research, not financial advice.

Which has more 12-month upside, IBIT or GBTC?

TradersQuant's 12-month base-case forecast currently implies -21.4% for IBIT and -29.9% for GBTC. Both forecasts are three-scenario models (bull/base/bear) refreshed continuously and graded on our public track record.

How is this IBIT vs GBTC comparison calculated?

Both stocks are scored by the same fixed-weight model — 20% valuation, 20% growth, 15% earnings quality, 15% momentum, 10% macro regime fit, 10% analyst sentiment, 10% balance-sheet risk — from live fundamentals and prices. No hand-picking: the same arithmetic runs on every stock we cover, and our systematic calls are graded in public against the S&P 500.