MSTR vs IBIT: which stock is the better buy?
Strategy Inc and iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF, graded by the same fixed-weight model from live fundamentals — composite score, 12-month forecast, valuation, growth and margins, side by side. As of July 6, 2026.
On today’s numbers, iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF grades higher — 51/100 vs 49/100. Tap either card for the full factor breakdown.
Metric by metric
| Metric | MSTR | IBIT |
|---|---|---|
| TradersQuant Score | 49/100 | 51/100 ✓ |
| Price | $100.77 | $34.87 |
| 12-mo base forecast | $50.39 | $27.42 |
| Implied upside | -50.0% | -21.4% ✓ |
| Bull / bear range | $100.52 / $12.45 | $42.53 / $16.17 |
| P/E | -2.8 | — |
| Forward P/E | — | — |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | +3.0% | — |
| Gross margin | 68.1% | — |
| Market cap | $29.9B | $58.1B |
| Sector | Technology | Financial Services |
✓ marks the stronger reading per metric (lower is better for P/E). Figures refresh continuously; research, not financial advice.
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MSTR vs IBIT — FAQ (2026)
Is MSTR or IBIT the better buy right now?
On the live TradersQuant composite score, iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) currently grades higher at 51/100 versus 49/100 for MSTR. The score weighs valuation, growth, earnings quality, momentum, the macro regime, sentiment and balance-sheet risk — open each stock's page for the full breakdown. Research, not financial advice.
Which has more 12-month upside, MSTR or IBIT?
TradersQuant's 12-month base-case forecast currently implies -50.0% for MSTR and -21.4% for IBIT. Both forecasts are three-scenario models (bull/base/bear) refreshed continuously and graded on our public track record.
How is this MSTR vs IBIT comparison calculated?
Both stocks are scored by the same fixed-weight model — 20% valuation, 20% growth, 15% earnings quality, 15% momentum, 10% macro regime fit, 10% analyst sentiment, 10% balance-sheet risk — from live fundamentals and prices. No hand-picking: the same arithmetic runs on every stock we cover, and our systematic calls are graded in public against the S&P 500.